Argentina 79%Draw 14%Mauritania 7%Expected goals 3.32 – 1.04
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 3.65 – our chance 51% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +86%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArgentina to win ✓79% · @1.02
Double chanceArgentina or draw ✓93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @3.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.34
Argentina vs Mauritania: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Argentina welcome Mauritania to Alberto Jose Armando for a Friendlies fixture on Saturday 28 March (00:15 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Argentina 3.3 xG, Mauritania 1.0 xG – a total near 4.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 81% and GG at 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Argentina 79%, draw 14%, Mauritania 7%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 3.65.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentina 3–1 Mauritania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Argentina79%fair 1.26 · @1.02
Draw14%fair 7.03 · @13.00
Mauritania7%fair 15.14 · @76.00
4.36Expected goals
3.32Argentina xG
1.04Mauritania xG
51%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
3–08%
2–17%
2–07%
4–17%
4–06%
From our goals model: Argentina 3.3 – 1.0 Mauritania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentina to win✓
79%
1.26
1.02
Double chance
Argentina or draw✓
93%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
3.65 ▲
Draw no bet
Argentina (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.08
–
Asian handicap
Argentina -1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.80
First team to score
Argentina to score first✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Argentina ahead at half-time✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentina / FT Argentina✓
58%
1.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.34
–
Recent results
Argentina
No recent results on record.
Mauritania
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentina and Mauritania.
What is the prediction for Argentina vs Mauritania?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Argentina vs Mauritania?
On our numbers Argentina have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Mauritania 7%.
How many goals will there be in Argentina vs Mauritania?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentina vs Mauritania?
Our predicted score is Argentina 3–1 Mauritania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Argentina vs Mauritania?
Argentina vs Mauritania (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Alberto Jose Armando.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.