Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Belgium to win @ 2.64 – our chance 47% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBelgium to win ✓47% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Croatia vs Belgium: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Tuesday 2 June: Croatia v Belgium in the Friendlies, played at Stadion HNK Rijeka Dean Šćulac.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Croatia 1.4 xG, Belgium 2.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Croatia 30%, draw 22%, Belgium 47%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Belgium to win @2.64 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Croatia 1–2 Belgium. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Croatia30%fair 3.33 · @2.48
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.50
Belgium47%fair 2.11 · @2.64
3.43Expected goals
1.37Croatia xG
2.06Belgium xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–19%
0–27%
0–17%
1–36%
2–26%
From our goals model: Croatia 1.4 – 2.1 Belgium expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Croatia
Belgium
Attack vs Friendlies average
-3%
+21%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.19
2.32
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belgium to win✓
47%
2.11
2.64 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.67
Draw no bet
Belgium (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Croatia +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.83 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.12
First team to score
Belgium to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Belgium ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belgium / FT Belgium✓
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Croatia – last 2
LW
1 Apr
@ Brazil
1–3
L
27 Mar
@ Colombia
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Belgium – last 1
D
1 Apr
@ Mexico
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Croatia and Belgium.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Croatia vs Belgium?
On our numbers Croatia have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Belgium 47%.
How many goals will there be in Croatia vs Belgium?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Croatia vs Belgium?
Our predicted score is Croatia 1–2 Belgium, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Croatia vs Belgium?
Croatia vs Belgium (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 2 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion HNK Rijeka Dean Šćulac.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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