Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 56% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultColombia to win68% · @1.17
Double chanceColombia or draw87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @2.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.09
Colombia vs Costa Rica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Tuesday 2 June: Colombia v Costa Rica in the Friendlies, played at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colombia 2.1 xG, Costa Rica 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colombia 68%, draw 19%, Costa Rica 13%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.35.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colombia 2–0 Costa Rica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colombia68%fair 1.47 · @1.17
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @7.00
Costa Rica13%fair 7.90 · @13.50
3.13Expected goals
2.14Colombia xG
0.99Costa Rica xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Colombia 2.1 – 1.0 Costa Rica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Colombia
Costa Rica
Attack vs Friendlies average
-13%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+23%
Our expected goals here
1.50
0.89
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colombia to win
68%
1.47
1.17
Double chance
Colombia or draw
87%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.77
2.35 ▲
Draw no bet
Colombia (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Colombia -0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.25
First team to score
Colombia to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Colombia ahead at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colombia / FT Colombia
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Colombia – last 2
LL
29 Mar
vs France
1–3
L
27 Mar
vs Croatia
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Costa Rica – last 2
LD
31 Mar
vs Iran
0–5
L
27 Mar
@ Jordan
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colombia and Costa Rica.
What is the prediction for Colombia vs Costa Rica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Colombia vs Costa Rica?
On our numbers Colombia have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Costa Rica 13%.
How many goals will there be in Colombia vs Costa Rica?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colombia vs Costa Rica?
Our predicted score is Colombia 2–0 Costa Rica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Colombia vs Costa Rica?
Colombia vs Costa Rica (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 2 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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