Canada vs Uzbekistan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Canada welcome Uzbekistan to Commonwealth Stadium for a Friendlies fixture on Tuesday 2 June (02:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Canada 1.7 xG, Uzbekistan 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Canada 58%, draw 26%, Uzbekistan 16%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Canada 1–0 Uzbekistan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Canada58%fair 1.73 · @1.57
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.75
Uzbekistan16%fair 6.15 · @6.00
2.60Expected goals
1.70Canada xG
0.90Uzbekistan xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Canada 1.7 – 0.9 Uzbekistan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Canada
Uzbekistan
Attack vs Friendlies average
-18%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-36%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.44
0.89
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canada to win✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Double chance
Canada or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.00
Draw no bet
Canada (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Uzbekistan +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Canada to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canada / FT Canada✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Canada – last 1
D
1 Apr
vs Tunisia
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Uzbekistan – last 1
W
27 Mar
vs Gabon
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canada and Uzbekistan.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Canada vs Uzbekistan?
On our numbers Canada have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Uzbekistan 16%.
How many goals will there be in Canada vs Uzbekistan?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canada vs Uzbekistan?
Our predicted score is Canada 1–0 Uzbekistan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Canada vs Uzbekistan?
Canada vs Uzbekistan (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 2 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Commonwealth Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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