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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Morocco v Madagascar: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Complexe Sportif Moulay Abdellah
4–0
FT
Morocco 76%Draw 16%Madagascar 9% Expected goals 2.69 – 0.83
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.70 – our chance 51% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +38%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMorocco to win ✓76% · @1.12
Double chanceMorocco or draw ✓91% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24

Morocco vs Madagascar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 2 June the Friendlies brings Morocco against Madagascar at Complexe Sportif Moulay Abdellah. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Morocco 2.7 xG, Madagascar 0.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Morocco 76%, draw 16%, Madagascar 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.70.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morocco 3–0 Madagascar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Morocco76%fair 1.32 · @1.12
Draw16%fair 6.42 · @7.40
Madagascar9%fair 11.76 · @22.00
3.52Expected goals
2.69Morocco xG
0.83Madagascar xG
51%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%

From our goals model: Morocco 2.7 – 0.8 Madagascar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMorocco to win ✓76%1.321.12
Double chanceMorocco or draw ✓91%1.091.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.962.70 ▲
Draw no betMorocco (draw no bet) ✓90%1.11–
Asian handicapMorocco -1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.521.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.801.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.361.25
First team to scoreMorocco to score first ✓74%1.35–
Half-time resultMorocco ahead at half-time ✓57%1.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Morocco / FT Morocco ✓53%1.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.24–

Recent results

Morocco – last 2

WD
31 Marvs Paraguay2–1W
27 Marvs Ecuador1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Madagascar – last 1

D
31 Mar@ Equatorial Guinea1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Morocco and Madagascar.

Morocco vs Madagascar head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Morocco vs Madagascar?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Morocco vs Madagascar?

On our numbers Morocco have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Madagascar 9%.

How many goals will there be in Morocco vs Madagascar?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Morocco vs Madagascar?

Our predicted score is Morocco 3–0 Madagascar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Morocco vs Madagascar?

Morocco vs Madagascar (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 2 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Complexe Sportif Moulay Abdellah.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.