Value bet: Amarante to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAmarante to win ✓46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Amarante vs Trofense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Trofense travel to face Amarante on Sunday 8 March in the Liga 3, with Amarante Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amarante 1.5 xG, Trofense 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amarante 46%, draw 27%, Trofense 27%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Amarante to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.93, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amarante 1–1 Trofense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amarante46%fair 2.17 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.75
Trofense27%fair 3.68 · @2.90
2.45Expected goals
1.51Amarante xG
0.94Trofense xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Amarante 1.5 – 0.9 Trofense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amarante to win✓
46%
2.17
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Amarante (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Trofense +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Amarante to score first✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amarante / FT Amarante✗
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Amarante – last 2
WW
1 Mar
@ CF Os Belenenses
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Mafra
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Trofense – last 1
D
27 Feb
vs Mafra
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amarante and Trofense.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Amarante vs Trofense?
On our numbers Amarante have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Trofense 27%.
How many goals will there be in Amarante vs Trofense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amarante vs Trofense?
Our predicted score is Amarante 1–1 Trofense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Amarante vs Trofense?
Amarante vs Trofense (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Amarante Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sanjoanense1
SC Braga B1