Mafra vs Guimaraes B: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mafra welcome Guimaraes B to Estadio Municipal de Mafra for a Liga 3 fixture on Sunday 8 March (12:00 WAT). In the table, Mafra are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Guimaraes B are 5th (upper half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mafra, last 4: LDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to União Santarém, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mafra 1.5 xG, Guimaraes B 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mafra 45%, draw 26%, Guimaraes B 29%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mafra 1–1 Guimaraes B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mafra45%fair 2.24 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @2.90
Guimaraes B29%fair 3.44 · @3.50
2.73Expected goals
1.53Mafra xG
1.20Guimaraes B xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mafra 1.5 – 1.2 Guimaraes B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mafra to win✗
45%
2.24
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Mafra (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Guimaraes B +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Mafra to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mafra / FT Mafra✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Mafra – last 4
LDLW
4 Mar
@ União Santarém
1–3
L
27 Feb
@ Trofense
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Amarante
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Varzim
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Guimaraes B – last 2
WD
21 Feb
@ União Santarém
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs CF Os Belenenses
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mafra and Guimaraes B.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Mafra vs Guimaraes B?
On our numbers Mafra have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guimaraes B 29%.
How many goals will there be in Mafra vs Guimaraes B?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mafra vs Guimaraes B?
Our predicted score is Mafra 1–1 Guimaraes B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Mafra vs Guimaraes B?
Mafra vs Guimaraes B (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mafra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amarante1
Sanjoanense1
SC Braga B1