Value bet: Paredes to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultParedes to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Paredes vs Fafe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fafe travel to face Paredes on Sunday 8 March in the Liga 3, with Municipal das Laranjeiras the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Paredes are 1st, leading the league, on 22 points after 9 matches; Fafe are 4th (among the top four) with 13.
Current form
Paredes, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to SC Braga B, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Fafe, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sanjoanense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paredes 1.6 xG, Fafe 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paredes 44%, draw 27%, Fafe 30%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Paredes to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.82, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paredes 1–1 Fafe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paredes44%fair 2.29 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @2.75
Fafe30%fair 3.38 · @2.80
2.64Expected goals
1.55Paredes xG
1.09Fafe xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Paredes 1.6 – 1.1 Fafe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paredes to win✗
44%
2.29
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Paredes (draw no bet)
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Fafe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Paredes to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paredes / FT Paredes✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Paredes – last 3
LWW
1 Mar
@ SC Braga B
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Sanjoanense
3–1
W
14 Feb
@ AD Marco 09
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fafe – last 3
WLW
1 Mar
vs Sanjoanense
3–2
W
21 Feb
@ São João Ver
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs SC Braga B
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paredes and Fafe.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Paredes vs Fafe?
On our numbers Paredes have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fafe 30%.
How many goals will there be in Paredes vs Fafe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paredes vs Fafe?
Our predicted score is Paredes 1–1 Fafe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Paredes vs Fafe?
Paredes vs Fafe (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal das Laranjeiras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amarante1
Sanjoanense1
SC Braga B1