União Santarém vs CF Os Belenenses: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CF Os Belenenses travel to face União Santarém on Sunday 8 March in the Liga 3, with Campo Cha das Padeiras the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, União Santarém are 4th, among the top four, on 13 points after 9 matches; CF Os Belenenses are 1st (leading the league) with 21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give União Santarém 1.3 xG, CF Os Belenenses 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – União Santarém 33%, draw 27%, CF Os Belenenses 40%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: União Santarém 1–1 CF Os Belenenses. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
União Santarém33%fair 3.03 · @3.00
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.75
CF Os Belenenses40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
2.65Expected goals
1.26União Santarém xG
1.39CF Os Belenenses xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: União Santarém 1.3 – 1.4 CF Os Belenenses expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Os Belenenses to win
40%
2.51
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
CF Os Belenenses (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
União Santarém +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
CF Os Belenenses to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Os Belenenses / FT CF Os Belenenses
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
União Santarém – last 2
WL
4 Mar
vs Mafra
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Guimaraes B
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CF Os Belenenses – last 2
LD
1 Mar
vs Amarante
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Guimaraes B
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União Santarém and CF Os Belenenses.
What is the prediction for União Santarém vs CF Os Belenenses?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win União Santarém vs CF Os Belenenses?
On our numbers União Santarém have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CF Os Belenenses 40%.
How many goals will there be in União Santarém vs CF Os Belenenses?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União Santarém vs CF Os Belenenses?
Our predicted score is União Santarém 1–1 CF Os Belenenses, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is União Santarém vs CF Os Belenenses?
União Santarém vs CF Os Belenenses (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Cha das Padeiras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amarante1
Sanjoanense1
SC Braga B1