Academica vs Mafra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Liga 3 brings Academica against Mafra. Kick-off: 21:15 WAT.
Current form
Mafra, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Guimaraes B, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Academica 1.7 xG, Mafra 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Academica 45%, draw 25%, Mafra 29%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Academica 1–1 Mafra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Academica45%fair 2.20 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.00
Mafra29%fair 3.40 · @3.50
3.09Expected goals
1.72Academica xG
1.37Mafra xG
56%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Academica 1.7 – 1.4 Mafra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Academica to win
45%
2.20
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.77
1.85
Draw no bet
Academica (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Mafra +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Academica to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Academica / FT Academica
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
Academica
No recent results on record.
Mafra – last 5
LLDLW
8 Mar
vs Guimaraes B
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ União Santarém
1–3
L
27 Feb
@ Trofense
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Amarante
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Varzim
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Academica and Mafra.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Academica vs Mafra?
On our numbers Academica have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mafra 29%.
How many goals will there be in Academica vs Mafra?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Academica vs Mafra?
Our predicted score is Academica 1–1 Mafra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Academica vs Mafra?
Academica vs Mafra (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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