Value bet: Guimaraes B to win @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuimaraes B to win ✗53% · @2.05
Double chanceGuimaraes B or draw ✗77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Guimaraes B vs Trofense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Trofense travel to face Guimaraes B on Sunday 15 March in the Liga 3, with Academia Vitoria SC the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Guimaraes B are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Trofense are 10th (upper half) with 5.
Current form
Guimaraes B, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mafra, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guimaraes B 1.7 xG, Trofense 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guimaraes B 53%, draw 25%, Trofense 23%.
Lower-risk option: Guimaraes B or draw (77%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Guimaraes B to win @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guimaraes B or draw (77%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guimaraes B 1–0 Trofense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guimaraes B53%fair 1.90 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Trofense23%fair 4.41 · @3.40
2.63Expected goals
1.73Guimaraes B xG
0.90Trofense xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Guimaraes B 1.7 – 0.9 Trofense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guimaraes B to win✗
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Guimaraes B or draw✗
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.91
Draw no bet
Guimaraes B (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Trofense +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Guimaraes B to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guimaraes B / FT Guimaraes B✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Guimaraes B – last 3
WWD
8 Mar
@ Mafra
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ União Santarém
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs CF Os Belenenses
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Trofense – last 2
LD
8 Mar
@ Amarante
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Mafra
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guimaraes B and Trofense.
What is the prediction for Guimaraes B vs Trofense?
Our pick is Guimaraes B or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Guimaraes B vs Trofense?
On our numbers Guimaraes B have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Trofense 23%.
How many goals will there be in Guimaraes B vs Trofense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guimaraes B vs Trofense?
Our predicted score is Guimaraes B 1–0 Trofense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Guimaraes B vs Trofense?
Guimaraes B vs Trofense (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Academia Vitoria SC.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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