Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.98
Fafe vs AD Marco 09: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Fafe v AD Marco 09 in the Liga 3, played at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe. In the table, Fafe are 4th, among the top four, on 13 points after 9 matches; AD Marco 09 are 3rd (among the top four) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fafe, last 4: DWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Paredes, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
AD Marco 09, last 4: DWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sanjoanense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Fafe, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for AD Marco 09.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fafe 1.3 xG, AD Marco 09 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fafe 53%, draw 27%, AD Marco 09 20%.
Lower-risk option: Fafe or draw (80%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fafe to win (53%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fafe 1–0 AD Marco 09. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fafe53%fair 1.89 · @1.70
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.25
AD Marco 0920%fair 4.90 · @4.60
2.09Expected goals
1.35Fafe xG
0.74AD Marco 09 xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–012%
1–112%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fafe 1.3 – 0.7 AD Marco 09 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fafe to win✗
53%
1.89
1.70
Double chance
Fafe or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.80
Draw no bet
Fafe (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
AD Marco 09 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Fafe to score first✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fafe / FT Fafe✗
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.98
–
Recent results
Fafe – last 4
DWLW
8 Mar
@ Paredes
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Sanjoanense
3–2
W
21 Feb
@ São João Ver
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs SC Braga B
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AD Marco 09 – last 4
DWLL
8 Mar
@ Sanjoanense
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs São João Ver
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ SC Braga B
0–2
L
14 Feb
vs Paredes
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fafe and AD Marco 09.
Our pick is Fafe to win with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Fafe vs AD Marco 09?
On our numbers Fafe have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and AD Marco 09 20%.
How many goals will there be in Fafe vs AD Marco 09?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fafe vs AD Marco 09?
Our predicted score is Fafe 1–0 AD Marco 09, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Fafe vs AD Marco 09?
Fafe vs AD Marco 09 (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sanjoanense2
SC Braga B2
Academica2