São João Ver 22%Draw 25%Paredes 53%Expected goals 0.93 – 1.52
78%
Betarazi pick
Paredes or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultParedes to win ✗53% · @1.95
Double chanceParedes or draw ✗78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77
São João Ver vs Paredes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Liga 3 brings São João Ver against Paredes. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, São João Ver are 9th, upper half, on 9 points after 9 matches; Paredes are 1st (leading the league) with 22. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
São João Ver, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with SC Braga B, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Paredes, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Fafe, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São João Ver 0.9 xG, Paredes 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São João Ver 22%, draw 25%, Paredes 53%.
Lower-risk option: Paredes or draw (78%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paredes or draw (78%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: São João Ver 0–1 Paredes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São João Ver22%fair 4.55 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.25
Paredes53%fair 1.88 · @1.95
2.45Expected goals
0.93São João Ver xG
1.52Paredes xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: São João Ver 0.9 – 1.5 Paredes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paredes to win✗
53%
1.88
1.95
Double chance
Paredes or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Paredes (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
São João Ver +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Paredes to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paredes / FT Paredes✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.77
–
Recent results
São João Ver – last 3
DLW
8 Mar
vs SC Braga B
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ AD Marco 09
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Fafe
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Paredes – last 4
DLWW
8 Mar
vs Fafe
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ SC Braga B
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Sanjoanense
3–1
W
14 Feb
@ AD Marco 09
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between São João Ver and Paredes.
What is the prediction for São João Ver vs Paredes?
Our pick is Paredes or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win São João Ver vs Paredes?
On our numbers São João Ver have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Paredes 53%.
How many goals will there be in São João Ver vs Paredes?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São João Ver vs Paredes?
Our predicted score is São João Ver 0–1 Paredes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is São João Ver vs Paredes?
São João Ver vs Paredes (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sanjoanense2
SC Braga B2
Academica2