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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CF Os Belenenses v Guimaraes B: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal
Sat 11 Apr 2026
CF Os Belenenses 53%Draw 26%Guimaraes B 21% Expected goals 1.62 – 1.01
79%
Betarazi pick

CF Os Belenenses or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCF Os Belenenses to win53% · @1.85
Double chanceCF Os Belenenses or draw79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.48

CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 11 April the Liga 3 brings CF Os Belenenses against Guimaraes B. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, CF Os Belenenses are 1st, leading the league, on 21 points after 9 matches; Guimaraes B are 5th (upper half) with 12.

Current form

CF Os Belenenses, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Trofense, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Guimaraes B, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Academica, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Guimaraes B 2–2 CF Os Belenenses.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CF Os Belenenses 1.6 xG, Guimaraes B 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CF Os Belenenses 53%, draw 26%, Guimaraes B 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: CF Os Belenenses or draw (79%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was CF Os Belenenses or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Os Belenenses 1–1 Guimaraes B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CF Os Belenenses53%fair 1.90 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.20
Guimaraes B21%fair 4.73 · @3.75
2.62Expected goals
1.62CF Os Belenenses xG
1.01Guimaraes B xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: CF Os Belenenses 1.6 – 1.0 Guimaraes B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCF Os Belenenses to win53%1.901.85
Double chanceCF Os Belenenses or draw79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score59%1.701.75
Draw no betCF Os Belenenses (draw no bet)71%1.40–
Asian handicapGuimaraes B +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.14–
First team to scoreCF Os Belenenses to score first57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT CF Os Belenenses / FT CF Os Belenenses31%3.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.48–

Recent results

CF Os Belenenses – last 3

WLD
3 Apr@ Trofense1–0W
1 Marvs Amarante1–2L
15 Feb@ Guimaraes B2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Guimaraes B – last 6

WLLWWD
4 Aprvs Academica1–0W
22 Mar@ Amarante1–2L
15 Marvs Trofense1–2L
8 Mar@ Mafra2–1W
21 Feb@ União Santarém1–0W
15 Febvs CF Os Belenenses2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Guimaraes B v CF Os Belenenses2–2
CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B?

Our pick is CF Os Belenenses or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B?

On our numbers CF Os Belenenses have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guimaraes B 21%.

How many goals will there be in CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B?

Our predicted score is CF Os Belenenses 1–1 Guimaraes B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B?

CF Os Belenenses vs Guimaraes B (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.