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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sanjoanense v Fafe: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal
Sat 11 Apr 2026

Fafe

WDDWL
Sanjoanense 27%Draw 26%Fafe 48% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.37
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.75

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultFafe to win48% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 8.98

Sanjoanense vs Fafe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 11 April the Liga 3 brings Sanjoanense against Fafe. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Sanjoanense, last 4: DDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with SC Braga B, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Fafe, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Paredes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Fafe, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Sanjoanense.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Fafe 3–2 Sanjoanense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sanjoanense 1.1 xG, Fafe 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sanjoanense 27%, draw 26%, Fafe 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanjoanense 1–1 Fafe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sanjoanense27%fair 3.76 · @3.75
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.40
Fafe48%fair 2.10 · @1.80
2.51Expected goals
1.14Sanjoanense xG
1.37Fafe xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: Sanjoanense 1.1 – 1.4 Fafe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFafe to win48%2.101.80
Double chanceEither team to win74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.94–
Draw no betFafe (draw no bet)64%1.56–
Asian handicapSanjoanense +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.851.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.12–
First team to scoreFafe to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fafe / FT Fafe25%4.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111%8.98–

Recent results

Sanjoanense – last 4

DDLL
15 Marvs SC Braga B2–2D
8 Marvs AD Marco 091–1D
1 Mar@ Fafe2–3L
22 Feb@ Paredes1–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Fafe – last 6

WDDWLW
22 Marvs Paredes1–0W
15 Marvs AD Marco 091–1D
8 Mar@ Paredes0–0D
1 Marvs Sanjoanense3–2W
21 Feb@ São João Ver0–1L
15 Febvs SC Braga B2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Fafe v Sanjoanense3–2
Sanjoanense vs Fafe head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sanjoanense vs Fafe?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Sanjoanense vs Fafe?

On our numbers Sanjoanense have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fafe 48%.

How many goals will there be in Sanjoanense vs Fafe?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sanjoanense vs Fafe?

Our predicted score is Sanjoanense 1–1 Fafe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sanjoanense vs Fafe?

Sanjoanense vs Fafe (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.