Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Varzim vs Mafra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mafra travel to face Varzim on Saturday 11 April in the Liga 3 – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Varzim are 6th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Mafra are 5th (upper half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mafra, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over União Santarém, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Mafra 1–0 Varzim.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Varzim 1.5 xG, Mafra 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Varzim 42%, draw 25%, Mafra 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Varzim 1–1 Mafra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Varzim42%fair 2.36 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.10
Mafra33%fair 3.05 · @3.20
2.81Expected goals
1.47Varzim xG
1.34Mafra xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Varzim 1.5 – 1.3 Mafra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Varzim vs Mafra?
On our numbers Varzim have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mafra 33%.
How many goals will there be in Varzim vs Mafra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varzim vs Mafra?
Our predicted score is Varzim 1–1 Mafra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Varzim vs Mafra?
Varzim vs Mafra (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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