FK Liepaja vs Super Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Liepaja welcome Super Nova to Daugavas stadions for a Virsliga fixture on Sunday 1 November (12:00 WAT). In the table, FK Liepaja are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Super Nova are 6th (lower half) with 40.
Current form
FK Liepaja, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tukums, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Super Nova, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Rīgas FS, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours FK Liepaja, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Super Nova.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Super Nova 1–2 FK Liepaja. The last 3 head-to-heads: FK Liepaja 3 wins, Super Nova 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 2.0 xG, Super Nova 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 67%, draw 18%, Super Nova 15%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 2–0 Super Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Liepaja67%fair 1.49 · @1.48
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @4.20
Super Nova15%fair 6.57 · @5.00
2.75Expected goals
1.97FK Liepaja xG
0.78Super Nova xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 2.0 – 0.8 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Super Nova 15%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 2–0 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Super Nova?
FK Liepaja vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
