Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓77% · @1.11
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓95% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 November the Virsliga brings Rīgas FS against Grobiņa at LNK Sporta Parks. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Rīgas FS are 1st, leading the league, on 89 points after 35 matches; Grobiņa are 8th (in the drop zone) with 29. There are 60 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rīgas FS, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Super Nova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Grobiņa, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Riga, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Grobiņa.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Aug 2026) it ended Rīgas FS 6–1 Grobiņa. The last 3 head-to-heads: Rīgas FS 3 wins, Grobiņa 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 2.6 xG, Grobiņa 0.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 77%, draw 18%, Grobiņa 5%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 3–0 Grobiņa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rīgas FS77%fair 1.30 · @1.11
Draw18%fair 5.67 · @9.50
Grobiņa5%fair 19.10 · @17.00
3.32Expected goals
2.64Rīgas FS xG
0.68Grobiņa xG
51%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
3–011%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
4–07%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.6 – 0.7 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Grobiņa 5%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 3–0 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?
Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
