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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kataller Toyama v Albirex Niigata: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Toyama Stadium
2–0
FT
Kataller Toyama 57%Draw 25%Albirex Niigata 19% Expected goals 1.91 – 1.00
81%
Betarazi pick

Kataller Toyama or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Kataller Toyama to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKataller Toyama to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceKataller Toyama or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kataller Toyama welcome Albirex Niigata to Toyama Stadium for a J2 League fixture on Wednesday 29 April (06:00 WAT). In the table, Kataller Toyama are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 16 matches; Albirex Niigata are 1st (leading the league) with 32. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Kataller Toyama, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Imabari, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Albirex Niigata, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Osaka, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kataller Toyama, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Albirex Niigata.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Albirex Niigata 2–3 Kataller Toyama.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kataller Toyama 1.9 xG, Albirex Niigata 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kataller Toyama 57%, draw 25%, Albirex Niigata 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kataller Toyama or draw (81%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Kataller Toyama to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kataller Toyama or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kataller Toyama 1–0 Albirex Niigata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kataller Toyama57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.25
Albirex Niigata19%fair 5.34 · @3.70
2.91Expected goals
1.91Kataller Toyama xG
1.00Albirex Niigata xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: Kataller Toyama 1.9 – 1.0 Albirex Niigata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Kataller ToyamaAlbirex Niigata
Attack vs J2 League average+39%+12%
Goals conceded vs average-24%+4%
Our expected goals here2.021.02

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKataller Toyama to win ✓57%1.761.91 ▲
Double chanceKataller Toyama or draw ✓81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.80
Draw no betKataller Toyama (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapAlbirex Niigata +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.972.05
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.421.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreKataller Toyama to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultKataller Toyama ahead at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama ✓37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.06–

Recent results

Kataller Toyama – last 6

WWWWWL
25 Apr@ Imabari2–1W
19 Aprvs Kochi United4–0W
11 Apr@ Osaka2–1W
5 Aprvs Nara Club5–2W
20 Mar@ Albirex Niigata3–2W
15 Marvs Kanazawa0–2L
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Albirex Niigata – last 6

WWLLWW
25 Aprvs Osaka1–0W
18 Aprvs Imabari1–0W
12 Apr@ Kochi United1–2L
20 Marvs Kataller Toyama2–3L
1 Mar@ Imabari2–0W
22 Feb@ Kamatamare Sanuki3–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Mar 2026Albirex Niigata v Kataller Toyama2–3
Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?

Our pick is Kataller Toyama or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?

On our numbers Kataller Toyama have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Albirex Niigata 19%.

How many goals will there be in Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?

Our predicted score is Kataller Toyama 1–0 Albirex Niigata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?

Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyama Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.