Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Kataller Toyama to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKataller Toyama to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceKataller Toyama or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kataller Toyama welcome Albirex Niigata to Toyama Stadium for a J2 League fixture on Wednesday 29 April (06:00 WAT). In the table, Kataller Toyama are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 16 matches; Albirex Niigata are 1st (leading the league) with 32. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kataller Toyama, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Imabari, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Albirex Niigata, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Osaka, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Kataller Toyama, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Albirex Niigata.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Albirex Niigata 2–3 Kataller Toyama.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kataller Toyama 1.9 xG, Albirex Niigata 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kataller Toyama 57%, draw 25%, Albirex Niigata 19%.
Lower-risk option: Kataller Toyama or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Kataller Toyama to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kataller Toyama or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kataller Toyama 1–0 Albirex Niigata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kataller Toyama57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.25
Albirex Niigata19%fair 5.34 · @3.70
2.91Expected goals
1.91Kataller Toyama xG
1.00Albirex Niigata xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Kataller Toyama 1.9 – 1.0 Albirex Niigata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Kataller Toyama
Albirex Niigata
Attack vs J2 League average
+39%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
-24%
+4%
Our expected goals here
2.02
1.02
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?
Our pick is Kataller Toyama or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?
On our numbers Kataller Toyama have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Albirex Niigata 19%.
How many goals will there be in Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?
Our predicted score is Kataller Toyama 1–0 Albirex Niigata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata?
Kataller Toyama vs Albirex Niigata (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyama Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.