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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tegevajaro Miyazaki v Kitakyushu: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Unilever Stadium Shintomi
3–0
FT
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 65%Draw 22%Kitakyushu 13% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.74
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultTegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✓65% · @1.50
Double chanceTegevajaro Miyazaki or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kitakyushu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tegevajaro Miyazaki welcome Kitakyushu to Unilever Stadium Shintomi for a J2 League fixture on Wednesday 29 April (06:00 WAT).

Current form

Tegevajaro Miyazaki, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kagoshima United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Kitakyushu, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Ryukyu, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tegevajaro Miyazaki, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Kitakyushu.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Kitakyushu 2–3 Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2.0 xG, Kitakyushu 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tegevajaro Miyazaki 65%, draw 22%, Kitakyushu 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2–0 Kitakyushu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tegevajaro Miyazaki65%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.75
Kitakyushu13%fair 7.54 · @6.20
2.76Expected goals
2.02Tegevajaro Miyazaki xG
0.74Kitakyushu xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–16%

From our goals model: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2.0 – 0.7 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Tegevajaro MiyazakiKitakyushu
Attack vs J2 League average+31%-16%
Goals conceded vs average-28%+22%
Our expected goals here2.230.73

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✓65%1.551.50
Double chanceTegevajaro Miyazaki or draw ✓87%1.151.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.912.00
Draw no betTegevajaro Miyazaki (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapTegevajaro Miyazaki -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.981.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreTegevajaro Miyazaki to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultTegevajaro Miyazaki ahead at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tegevajaro Miyazaki / FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki ✓44%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.46–

Recent results

Tegevajaro Miyazaki – last 6

WWWWLW
25 Aprvs Kagoshima United1–0W
19 Apr@ Gainare Tottori1–0W
12 Apr@ Roasso Kumamoto5–0W
5 Aprvs Renofa Yamaguchi3–0W
29 Mar@ Biwako Shiga0–1L
21 Marvs Roasso Kumamoto1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kitakyushu – last 6

WLWWLL
18 Apr@ FC Ryukyu2–0W
12 Aprvs Sagan Tosu0–1L
29 Marvs FC Ryukyu1–0W
22 Mar@ Renofa Yamaguchi1–0W
14 Mar@ Sagan Tosu0–1L
7 Marvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–3L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Mar 2026Kitakyushu v Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–3
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kitakyushu head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kitakyushu?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kitakyushu?

On our numbers Tegevajaro Miyazaki have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kitakyushu 13%.

How many goals will there be in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kitakyushu?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kitakyushu?

Our predicted score is Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2–0 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kitakyushu?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kitakyushu (J2 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Unilever Stadium Shintomi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.