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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Omiya Ardija v Parceiro Nagano: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · NACK5 Stadium Omiya

Omiya Ardija

LWWLL
1–2
FT

Parceiro Nagano

LLLWL
Omiya Ardija 67%Draw 19%Parceiro Nagano 14% Expected goals 2.43 – 1.04
67%
Betarazi pick

Omiya Ardija to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultOmiya Ardija to win ✗67% · @1.30
Double chanceOmiya Ardija or draw ✗86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47

Omiya Ardija vs Parceiro Nagano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Omiya Ardija welcome Parceiro Nagano to NACK5 Stadium Omiya for a J2 League fixture on Sunday 17 May (06:00 WAT).

Current form

Omiya Ardija, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Consadole Sapporo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Parceiro Nagano, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FC Gifu, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Parceiro Nagano 1–2 Omiya Ardija.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Omiya Ardija 2.4 xG, Parceiro Nagano 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Omiya Ardija 67%, draw 19%, Parceiro Nagano 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Omiya Ardija to win (67%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Omiya Ardija 2–1 Parceiro Nagano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Omiya Ardija67%fair 1.50 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @4.75
Parceiro Nagano14%fair 6.96 · @6.50
3.47Expected goals
2.43Omiya Ardija xG
1.04Parceiro Nagano xG
59%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Omiya Ardija 2.4 – 1.0 Parceiro Nagano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Omiya ArdijaParceiro Nagano
Attack vs J2 League average+41%-11%
Goals conceded vs average-6%+25%
Our expected goals here2.451.00

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOmiya Ardija to win ✗67%1.501.30
Double chanceOmiya Ardija or draw ✗86%1.171.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.67
Draw no betOmiya Ardija (draw no bet) ✗82%1.22–
Asian handicapOmiya Ardija -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
First team to scoreOmiya Ardija to score first68%1.47–
Half-time resultOmiya Ardija ahead at half-time ✗51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Omiya Ardija / FT Omiya Ardija ✗45%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.47–

Recent results

Omiya Ardija – last 6

LWWLLL
9 May@ Consadole Sapporo3–4L
6 Mayvs Iwaki3–2W
3 May@ Fukushima United2–1W
29 Aprvs Ventforet Kofu1–2L
18 Aprvs Jubilo Iwata1–2L
12 Apr@ Matsumoto Yamaga1–4L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Parceiro Nagano – last 6

LLLWLW
9 Mayvs FC Gifu2–3L
6 May@ Consadole Sapporo0–2L
29 Aprvs Fukushima United1–3L
26 Apr@ Matsumoto Yamaga1–0W
19 Apr@ Iwaki0–1L
4 Apr@ Fujieda MYFC2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026Parceiro Nagano v Omiya Ardija1–2
Omiya Ardija vs Parceiro Nagano head-to-head page →

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub
FT Yokohama FC1 Tochigi SC0 159%1.77X23%3.40218%4.10 2.1–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✗
FT Blaublitz Akita3 Thespakusatsu Gunma1 146%2.05X25%3.10228%3.45 1.6–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓
– Iwaki1 Matsumoto Yamaga1 Pens 3–3 150%1.85X26%3.40224%3.40 1.6–1.1xG 1XIwaki or draw 76%@1.25 ✓
– Osaka1 Kanazawa1 Pens 2–3 149%1.95X28%3.10223%3.75 1.3–0.9xG 1XOsaka or draw 77%@1.20 ✓
– Kataller Toyama2 Tokushima Vortis2 Pens 5–6 149%2.05X24%3.40226%2.90 1.8–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.80 ✓
FT Kochi United0 Ehime FC1 134%2.75X27%3.10238%2.30 1.2–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.80 ✗
FT Imabari1 Kamatamare Sanuki2 150%1.73X26%3.35223%4.40 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Kagoshima United2 Roasso Kumamoto1 154%1.67X27%3.25219%4.60 1.4–0.7xG 1Kagoshima United to win 54%@1.67 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Omiya Ardija vs Parceiro Nagano?

Our pick is Omiya Ardija to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Omiya Ardija vs Parceiro Nagano?

On our numbers Omiya Ardija have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Parceiro Nagano 14%.

How many goals will there be in Omiya Ardija vs Parceiro Nagano?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Omiya Ardija vs Parceiro Nagano?

Our predicted score is Omiya Ardija 2–1 Parceiro Nagano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Omiya Ardija vs Parceiro Nagano?

Omiya Ardija vs Parceiro Nagano (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at NACK5 Stadium Omiya.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.