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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kagoshima United v Roasso Kumamoto: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Shiranami Stadium

Kagoshima United

LLLLW
2–1
FT

Roasso Kumamoto

LWWWW
Kagoshima United 54%Draw 27%Roasso Kumamoto 19% Expected goals 1.42 – 0.74
54%
Betarazi pick

Kagoshima United to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultKagoshima United to win ✓54% · @1.67
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.64

Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 17 May the J2 League brings Kagoshima United against Roasso Kumamoto at Shiranami Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT.

Current form

Kagoshima United, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Biwako Shiga, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Roasso Kumamoto, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Ryukyu, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Roasso Kumamoto, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Kagoshima United.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Roasso Kumamoto 0–1 Kagoshima United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kagoshima United 1.4 xG, Roasso Kumamoto 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kagoshima United 54%, draw 27%, Roasso Kumamoto 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kagoshima United or draw (81%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kagoshima United to win (54%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kagoshima United 1–0 Roasso Kumamoto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kagoshima United54%fair 1.85 · @1.67
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.25
Roasso Kumamoto19%fair 5.35 · @4.60
2.16Expected goals
1.42Kagoshima United xG
0.74Roasso Kumamoto xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–012%
2–19%
0–19%

From our goals model: Kagoshima United 1.4 – 0.7 Roasso Kumamoto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Kagoshima UnitedRoasso Kumamoto
Attack vs J2 League average+5%-15%
Goals conceded vs average-25%-6%
Our expected goals here1.370.76

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKagoshima United to win ✓54%1.851.67
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓81%1.231.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.902.00 ▲
Draw no betKagoshima United (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapRoasso Kumamoto +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreKagoshima United to score first58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United ✗32%3.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.64–

Recent results

Kagoshima United – last 6

LLLLWW
10 May@ Biwako Shiga0–1L
6 Mayvs Oita Trinita0–1L
25 Apr@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–1L
18 Apr@ Renofa Yamaguchi1–2L
12 Aprvs Gainare Tottori3–1W
29 Mar@ Roasso Kumamoto1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Roasso Kumamoto – last 6

LWWWWL
10 Mayvs FC Ryukyu0–1L
6 May@ Kitakyushu2–1W
3 Mayvs Biwako Shiga2–0W
29 Apr@ Oita Trinita1–0W
25 Apr@ Gainare Tottori2–0W
19 Aprvs Sagan Tosu0–2L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Roasso Kumamoto v Kagoshima United0–1
Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

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FT Yokohama FC1 Tochigi SC0 159%1.77X23%3.40218%4.10 2.1–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✗
FT Blaublitz Akita3 Thespakusatsu Gunma1 146%2.05X25%3.10228%3.45 1.6–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓
– Iwaki1 Matsumoto Yamaga1 Pens 3–3 150%1.85X26%3.40224%3.40 1.6–1.1xG 1XIwaki or draw 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Omiya Ardija1 Parceiro Nagano2 167%1.30X19%4.75214%6.50 2.4–1.0xG 1Omiya Ardija to win 67%@1.30 ✗
– Osaka1 Kanazawa1 Pens 2–3 149%1.95X28%3.10223%3.75 1.3–0.9xG 1XOsaka or draw 77%@1.20 ✓
– Kataller Toyama2 Tokushima Vortis2 Pens 5–6 149%2.05X24%3.40226%2.90 1.8–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.80 ✓
FT Kochi United0 Ehime FC1 134%2.75X27%3.10238%2.30 1.2–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.80 ✗
FT Imabari1 Kamatamare Sanuki2 150%1.73X26%3.35223%4.40 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Our pick is Kagoshima United to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

On our numbers Kagoshima United have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Roasso Kumamoto 19%.

How many goals will there be in Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Our predicted score is Kagoshima United 1–0 Roasso Kumamoto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Kagoshima United vs Roasso Kumamoto (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Shiranami Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.