Kataller Toyama v Tokushima Vortis Prediction & Expected Goals (17 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultKataller Toyama to win ✗49% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kataller Toyama welcome Tokushima Vortis to Toyama Stadium for a J2 League fixture on Sunday 17 May (06:00 WAT). In the table, Kataller Toyama are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 16 matches; Tokushima Vortis are 15th (lower half) with 17. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kataller Toyama, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ehime FC, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Tokushima Vortis, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nara Club, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kataller Toyama, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Tokushima Vortis.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Tokushima Vortis 1–3 Kataller Toyama.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kataller Toyama 1.8 xG, Tokushima Vortis 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Kataller Toyama 49%, draw 24%, Tokushima Vortis 26%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kataller Toyama 1–1 Tokushima Vortis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kataller Toyama49%fair 2.03 · @2.05

Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.40

Tokushima Vortis26%fair 3.78 · @2.90

2.82Expected goals

1.78Kataller Toyama xG

1.04Tokushima Vortis xG

58%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–011%

2–110%

2–09%

0–16%

0–06%

From our goals model: Kataller Toyama 1.8 – 1.0 Tokushima Vortis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Kataller Toyama	Tokushima Vortis
Attack vs J2 League average	+39%	-19%
Goals conceded vs average	-24%	-15%
Our expected goals here	1.65	0.74

Kataller Toyama

Tokushima Vortis

Attack vs J2 League average

+39%

-19%

Goals conceded vs average

-24%

-15%

Our expected goals here

1.65

0.74

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Kataller Toyama to win ✗	49%	2.03	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.74	1.80
Draw no bet	Kataller Toyama (draw no bet)	65%	1.54	–
Asian handicap	Tokushima Vortis +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.87	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
First team to score	Kataller Toyama to score first	59%	1.69	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.48	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama ✗	34%	2.96	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.19	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Kataller Toyama to win ✗

49%

2.03

2.05

Double chance

Either team to win ✗

76%

1.32

1.30

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

58%

1.74

1.80

Draw no bet

Kataller Toyama (draw no bet)

65%

1.54

–

Asian handicap

Tokushima Vortis +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓

69%

1.44

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

77%

1.30

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

53%

1.87

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

69%

1.45

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

85%

1.18

–

First team to score

Kataller Toyama to score first

59%

1.69

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

40%

2.48

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama ✗

34%

2.96

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

10%

10.19

–

Recent results

Head to head

J2 League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

On our numbers Kataller Toyama have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tokushima Vortis 26%.

How many goals will there be in Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

Our predicted score is Kataller Toyama 1–1 Tokushima Vortis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis?

Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyama Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

10 May	@ Ehime FC	2–0	W
3 May	@ Kanazawa	1–0	W
29 Apr	vs Albirex Niigata	2–0	W
25 Apr	@ Imabari	2–1	W
19 Apr	vs Kochi United	4–0	W
11 Apr	@ Osaka	2–1	W

10 May	vs Nara Club	1–2	L
6 May	@ Albirex Niigata	0–1	L
2 May	vs Ehime FC	0–6	L
26 Apr	@ Kochi United	1–2	L
18 Apr	vs Kanazawa	2–1	W
12 Apr	@ Kamatamare Sanuki	5–0	W

Kataller Toyama v Tokushima Vortis: numbers & prediction

Kataller Toyama

Tokushima Vortis

Both teams to score

Picks by market

Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Head to head

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Kataller Toyama – last 6

Tokushima Vortis – last 6

Head to head

J2 League table

More J2 League predictions

Frequently asked questions