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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Biwako Shiga v Kitakyushu: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Heiwado HATO Stadium

Biwako Shiga

LWLLL
1–0
FT

Kitakyushu

LWLWL
Biwako Shiga 35%Draw 26%Kitakyushu 39% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.24
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Biwako Shiga to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKitakyushu to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.58

Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kitakyushu travel to face Biwako Shiga on Sunday 17 May in the J2 League, with Heiwado HATO Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 07:30 WAT.

Current form

Biwako Shiga, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Gainare Tottori, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Kitakyushu, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Roasso Kumamoto, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Kitakyushu, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Biwako Shiga.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Kitakyushu 1–2 Biwako Shiga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Biwako Shiga 1.3 xG, Kitakyushu 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Biwako Shiga 35%, draw 26%, Kitakyushu 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Biwako Shiga to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Biwako Shiga 1–1 Kitakyushu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Biwako Shiga35%fair 2.86 · @3.10
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.20
Kitakyushu39%fair 2.60 · @2.15
2.50Expected goals
1.26Biwako Shiga xG
1.24Kitakyushu xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Biwako Shiga 1.3 – 1.2 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Biwako ShigaKitakyushu
Attack vs J2 League average-23%-16%
Goals conceded vs average+14%+22%
Our expected goals here1.321.15

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKitakyushu to win ✗39%2.602.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.85 ▲
Draw no betKitakyushu (draw no bet) ✗52%1.91–
Asian handicapKitakyushu +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.441.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.801.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreBiwako Shiga to score first ✓46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Biwako Shiga / FT Biwako Shiga ✗21%4.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.58–

Recent results

Biwako Shiga – last 6

LWLLLL
13 May@ Gainare Tottori2–3L
10 Mayvs Kagoshima United1–0W
6 Mayvs Renofa Yamaguchi1–4L
3 May@ Roasso Kumamoto0–2L
29 Aprvs Gainare Tottori1–3L
25 Apr@ Sagan Tosu0–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kitakyushu – last 6

LWLWLW
6 Mayvs Roasso Kumamoto1–2L
3 Mayvs Oita Trinita2–1W
29 Apr@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–3L
18 Apr@ FC Ryukyu2–0W
12 Aprvs Sagan Tosu0–1L
29 Marvs FC Ryukyu1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026Kitakyushu v Biwako Shiga1–2
Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu?

On our numbers Biwako Shiga have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kitakyushu 39%.

How many goals will there be in Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu?

Our predicted score is Biwako Shiga 1–1 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu?

Biwako Shiga vs Kitakyushu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 07:30 (West Africa Time) at Heiwado HATO Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.