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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Cuenca v Barcelona SC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
Deportivo Cuenca 35%Draw 29%Barcelona SC 37% Expected goals 0.88 – 0.96
81%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Barcelona SC to win @ 3.15 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBarcelona SC to win ✗37% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 15.59

Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 1 March the Liga Pro brings Deportivo Cuenca against Barcelona SC at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Cuenca are 11th on 47 points after 36 matches; Barcelona SC are 6th with 49. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cuenca 0.9 xG, Barcelona SC 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cuenca 35%, draw 29%, Barcelona SC 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Barcelona SC to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cuenca 0–0 Barcelona SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Cuenca35%fair 2.88 · @2.28
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @3.20
Barcelona SC37%fair 2.73 · @3.15
1.84Expected goals
0.88Deportivo Cuenca xG
0.96Barcelona SC xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–016%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%

From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 0.9 – 1.0 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarcelona SC to win ✗37%2.733.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.401.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.73
Draw no betBarcelona SC (draw no bet) ✗51%1.95–
Asian handicapDeportivo Cuenca +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.591.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.601.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.241.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.10
First team to scoreBarcelona SC to score first ✗44%2.28–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6%15.59–

Recent results

Deportivo Cuenca – last 2

LW
22 Feb@ Delfin SC0–1L
14 Feb@ Macara2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Barcelona SC – last 1

L
19 Febvs Argentinos JRS0–1L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and Barcelona SC.

Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?

On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Barcelona SC 37%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 0–0 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?

Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.