Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Barcelona SC to win @ 3.15 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBarcelona SC to win ✗37% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 15.59
Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Liga Pro brings Deportivo Cuenca against Barcelona SC at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Cuenca are 11th on 47 points after 36 matches; Barcelona SC are 6th with 49. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cuenca 0.9 xG, Barcelona SC 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cuenca 35%, draw 29%, Barcelona SC 37%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Barcelona SC to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cuenca 0–0 Barcelona SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Cuenca35%fair 2.88 · @2.28
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @3.20
Barcelona SC37%fair 2.73 · @3.15
1.84Expected goals
0.88Deportivo Cuenca xG
0.96Barcelona SC xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 0.9 – 1.0 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona SC to win✗
37%
2.73
3.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.73
Draw no bet
Barcelona SC (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Cuenca +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.10
First team to score
Barcelona SC to score first✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
6%
15.59
–
Recent results
Deportivo Cuenca – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Macara
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Barcelona SC – last 1
L
19 Feb
vs Argentinos JRS
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and Barcelona SC.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Barcelona SC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 0–0 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.