Value bet: Universidad Catolica to win @ 2.62 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win44% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.97
Mushuc Runa SC vs Universidad Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Liga Pro brings Mushuc Runa SC against Universidad Catolica at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Mushuc Runa SC are 12th on 43 points after 36 matches; Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mushuc Runa SC 1.1 xG, Universidad Catolica 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mushuc Runa SC 31%, draw 25%, Universidad Catolica 44%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Universidad Catolica to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mushuc Runa SC31%fair 3.21 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.25
Universidad Catolica44%fair 2.29 · @2.62
2.57Expected goals
1.10Mushuc Runa SC xG
1.48Universidad Catolica xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.1 – 1.5 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win
44%
2.29
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.65
Draw no bet
Universidad Catolica (draw no bet)
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Mushuc Runa SC +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Universidad Catolica to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Mushuc Runa SC
No recent results on record.
Universidad Catolica – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Juventud
3–4
L
3.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mushuc Runa SC and Universidad Catolica.
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Universidad Catolica 44%.
How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Universidad Catolica?
Mushuc Runa SC vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
