Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗54% · @1.47
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✗80% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.32
LDU de Quito vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: LDU de Quito v Macara in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. In the table, LDU de Quito are 4th on 54 points after 36 matches; Macara are 2nd with 67. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give LDU de Quito 1.2 xG, Macara 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – LDU de Quito 54%, draw 25%, Macara 20%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.29, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: LDU de Quito 1–0 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
LDU de Quito54%fair 1.84 · @1.47
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @4.10
Macara20%fair 4.93 · @6.75
2.10Expected goals
1.24LDU de Quito xG
0.86Macara xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.2 – 0.9 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win✗
54%
1.84
1.47
Double chance
LDU de Quito or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Draw no bet
LDU de Quito (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Macara +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.11
First team to score
LDU de Quito to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.32
–
Recent results
LDU de Quito – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Orense SC
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Macara – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between LDU de Quito and Macara.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Macara?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Macara?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Macara 20%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Macara?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Macara?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–0 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Macara?
LDU de Quito vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
