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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Emelec v Delfin SC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio George Capwell
1–1
FT
Emelec 51%Draw 26%Delfin SC 23% Expected goals 1.14 – 0.76
81%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultEmelec to win ✗51% · @1.73
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✓77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.86

Emelec vs Delfin SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Emelec v Delfin SC in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio George Capwell. In the table, Emelec are 10th on 45 points after 36 matches; Delfin SC are 14th with 38.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Emelec 1.1 xG, Delfin SC 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Emelec 51%, draw 26%, Delfin SC 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Emelec or draw (77%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emelec 1–0 Delfin SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Emelec51%fair 1.96 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.45
Delfin SC23%fair 4.43 · @5.00
1.90Expected goals
1.14Emelec xG
0.76Delfin SC xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%

From our goals model: Emelec 1.1 – 0.8 Delfin SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEmelec to win ✗51%1.961.73
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✓77%1.291.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.961.75
Draw no betEmelec (draw no bet)69%1.44–
Asian handicapDelfin SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.601.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.08
First team to scoreEmelec to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Emelec / FT Emelec ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.86–

Recent results

Emelec

No recent results on record.

Delfin SC – last 2

WW
22 Febvs Deportivo Cuenca1–0W
14 Febvs LDU Portoviejo1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Emelec and Delfin SC.

Emelec vs Delfin SC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Emelec vs Delfin SC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Emelec vs Delfin SC?

On our numbers Emelec have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Delfin SC 23%.

How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Delfin SC?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Delfin SC?

Our predicted score is Emelec 1–0 Delfin SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Emelec vs Delfin SC?

Emelec vs Delfin SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.