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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aucas v Deportivo Cuenca: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
0–1
FT
Aucas 52%Draw 27%Deportivo Cuenca 21% Expected goals 1.36 – 0.82
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultAucas to win ✗52% · @1.80
Double chanceAucas or draw ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.52

Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 March the Liga Pro brings Aucas against Deportivo Cuenca at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Aucas are 5th on 54 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47.

Current form

Deportivo Cuenca, last 4: WWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Libertad, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aucas 1.4 xG, Deportivo Cuenca 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aucas 52%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cuenca 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Aucas or draw (79%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aucas 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aucas52%fair 1.93 · @1.80
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.50
Deportivo Cuenca21%fair 4.73 · @4.35
2.18Expected goals
1.36Aucas xG
0.82Deportivo Cuenca xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%

From our goals model: Aucas 1.4 – 0.8 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAucas to win ✗52%1.931.80
Double chanceAucas or draw ✗79%1.271.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.85
Draw no betAucas (draw no bet) ✗71%1.41–
Asian handicapDeportivo Cuenca +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.481.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.09
First team to scoreAucas to score first ✗55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aucas / FT Aucas ✗29%3.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.52–

Recent results

Aucas

No recent results on record.

Deportivo Cuenca – last 4

WWLW
5 Marvs Libertad3–0W
1 Marvs Barcelona SC2–1W
22 Feb@ Delfin SC0–1L
14 Feb@ Macara2–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aucas and Deportivo Cuenca.

Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?

On our numbers Aucas have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Cuenca 21%.

How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.