Universidad Catolica 57%Draw 25%Leones del Norte 17%Expected goals 1.39 – 0.67
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win57% · @1.68
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.11
Universidad Catolica vs Leones del Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the Liga Pro brings Universidad Catolica against Leones del Norte. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Universidad Catolica are 3rd on 54 points after 36 matches; Leones del Norte are 9th with 47.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Universidad Catolica 1.4 xG, Leones del Norte 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad Catolica 57%, draw 25%, Leones del Norte 17%.
Lower-risk option: Universidad Catolica or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Leones del Norte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Universidad Catolica57%fair 1.74 · @1.68
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.50
Leones del Norte17%fair 5.73 · @5.25
2.06Expected goals
1.39Universidad Catolica xG
0.67Leones del Norte xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–013%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.4 – 0.7 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win
57%
1.74
1.68
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw
83%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.97
2.05
Draw no bet
Universidad Catolica (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Leones del Norte +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
1.07
First team to score
Universidad Catolica to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.11
–
Recent results
Universidad Catolica – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Juventud
3–4
L
3.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Leones del Norte – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Macara
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Leones del Norte.
What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leones del Norte 17%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Universidad Catolica vs Leones del Norte?
Universidad Catolica vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
