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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Macara v Tecnico Universitario: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista
Macara 53%Draw 25%Tecnico Universitario 23% Expected goals 1.43 – 0.66
77%
Betarazi pick

Macara or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Macara to win @ 2.12 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMacara to win ✗53% · @2.12
Double chanceMacara or draw ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.66

Macara vs Tecnico Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Macara welcome Tecnico Universitario to Estadio Bellavista for a Liga Pro fixture on Sunday 8 March (19:30 WAT). In the table, Macara are 2nd on 67 points after 36 matches; Tecnico Universitario are 15th with 37. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Macara, last 4: WWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Orense SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.4 xG, Tecnico Universitario 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 53%, draw 25%, Tecnico Universitario 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Macara or draw (77%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Macara to win @2.12 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Macara or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–0 Tecnico Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Macara53%fair 1.90 · @2.12
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.10
Tecnico Universitario23%fair 4.43 · @3.70
2.09Expected goals
1.43Macara xG
0.66Tecnico Universitario xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%

From our goals model: Macara 1.4 – 0.7 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMacara to win ✗53%1.902.12 ▲
Double chanceMacara or draw ✓77%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.881.60
Draw no betMacara (draw no bet)70%1.43–
Asian handicapTecnico Universitario +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.621.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.551.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.201.15
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.081.04
First team to scoreMacara to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Macara / FT Macara ✗33%3.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.66–

Recent results

Macara – last 4

WWDL
6 Mar@ Orense SC1–0W
1 Mar@ LDU de Quito2–0W
22 Febvs Leones del Norte0–0D
14 Febvs Deportivo Cuenca1–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Tecnico Universitario – last 1

D
28 Febvs Orense SC1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Macara and Tecnico Universitario.

Macara vs Tecnico Universitario head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Macara vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our pick is Macara or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Macara vs Tecnico Universitario?

On our numbers Macara have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tecnico Universitario 23%.

How many goals will there be in Macara vs Tecnico Universitario?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Macara vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our predicted score is Macara 1–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Macara vs Tecnico Universitario?

Macara vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.