Guayaquil City FC 32%Draw 27%Macara 41%Expected goals 0.88 – 1.14
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Macara to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMacara to win41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 13.14
Guayaquil City FC vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 12 April the Liga Pro brings Guayaquil City FC against Macara. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Guayaquil City FC are 8th on 48 points after 36 matches; Macara are 2nd with 67. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Guayaquil City FC, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Leones del Norte, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Macara, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with America de Cali, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Macara, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Guayaquil City FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guayaquil City FC 0.9 xG, Macara 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guayaquil City FC 32%, draw 27%, Macara 41%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Macara to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guayaquil City FC 0–1 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guayaquil City FC32%fair 3.14 · @2.70
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.05
Macara41%fair 2.45 · @2.70
2.03Expected goals
0.88Guayaquil City FC xG
1.14Macara xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Guayaquil City FC 0.9 – 1.1 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macara to win
41%
2.45
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Macara (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Guayaquil City FC +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
66%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
84%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
93%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Macara to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Macara / FT Macara
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
13.14
–
Recent results
Guayaquil City FC – last 5
DWDLL
23 Mar
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Manta FC
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Independiente del Valle
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Macara – last 6
DLWDDW
10 Apr
vs America de Cali
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Aucas
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Mushuc Runa SC
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Tecnico Universitario
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Orense SC
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guayaquil City FC and Macara.
What is the prediction for Guayaquil City FC vs Macara?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Macara?
On our numbers Guayaquil City FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Macara 41%.
How many goals will there be in Guayaquil City FC vs Macara?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guayaquil City FC vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Guayaquil City FC 0–1 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Guayaquil City FC vs Macara?
Guayaquil City FC vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
