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Tecnico Universitario v Universidad Catolica: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista
Sun 12 Apr 2026
Tecnico Universitario 27%Draw 25%Universidad Catolica 48% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.51
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultUniversidad Catolica to win48% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.78

Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Universidad Catolica travel to face Tecnico Universitario on Sunday 12 April in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Bellavista the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Tecnico Universitario are 15th on 37 points after 36 matches; Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tecnico Universitario, last 4: WWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aucas, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Universidad Catolica, last 4: DWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Emelec, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tecnico Universitario, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Universidad Catolica.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tecnico Universitario 1.0 xG, Universidad Catolica 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tecnico Universitario 27%, draw 25%, Universidad Catolica 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tecnico Universitario 0–1 Universidad Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tecnico Universitario27%fair 3.71 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.40
Universidad Catolica48%fair 2.06 · @2.08
2.49Expected goals
0.97Tecnico Universitario xG
1.51Universidad Catolica xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%

From our goals model: Tecnico Universitario 1.0 – 1.5 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUniversidad Catolica to win48%2.062.08
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.721.77
Draw no betUniversidad Catolica (draw no bet)64%1.56–
Asian handicapTecnico Universitario +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.411.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.861.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.341.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.141.09
First team to scoreUniversidad Catolica to score first56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica30%3.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.78–

Recent results

Tecnico Universitario – last 4

WWDD
19 Mar@ Aucas1–0W
13 Marvs Libertad2–1W
8 Mar@ Macara1–1D
28 Febvs Orense SC1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Universidad Catolica – last 4

DWDL
9 Aprvs Emelec1–1D
17 Marvs Deportivo Cuenca1–0W
15 Mar@ LDU de Quito1–1D
13 Febvs Juventud3–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tecnico Universitario and Universidad Catolica.

Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica?

On our numbers Tecnico Universitario have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Universidad Catolica 48%.

How many goals will there be in Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica?

Our predicted score is Tecnico Universitario 0–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica?

Tecnico Universitario vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.