Value bet: Maardu to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMaardu to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93
Maardu vs FC Tallinn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Maardu v FC Tallinn in the Esiliiga A, played at Maardu linnastaadion. In the table, Maardu are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 33 matches; FC Tallinn are 8th (in the drop zone) with 41.
Current form
Maardu, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Viimsi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
FC Tallinn, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tallinna Kalev, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (28 May 2026) it ended FC Tallinn 0–0 Maardu. The last 2 head-to-heads: Maardu 0 wins, FC Tallinn 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maardu 2.5 xG, FC Tallinn 1.3 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maardu 65%, draw 15%, FC Tallinn 20%.
Price worth noting: Maardu to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maardu 2–1 FC Tallinn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maardu65%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw15%fair 6.60 · @4.20
FC Tallinn20%fair 4.96 · @3.40
3.77Expected goals
2.47Maardu xG
1.30FC Tallinn xG
54%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Maardu 2.5 – 1.3 FC Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
On our numbers Maardu have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 15% and FC Tallinn 20%.
How many goals will there be in Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Maardu 2–1 FC Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Maardu vs FC Tallinn?
Maardu vs FC Tallinn (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Maardu linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
