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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tartu Welco v Flora II: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Holm Jalgpallipark
2–1
FT
Tartu Welco 70%Draw 19%Flora II 11% Expected goals 2.92 – 1.24
70%
Betarazi pick

Tartu Welco to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.29Odds

Picks by market

ResultTartu Welco to win ✓70% · @1.29
Double chanceTartu Welco or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.14

Tartu Welco vs Flora II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tartu Welco welcome Flora II to Holm Jalgpallipark for a Esiliiga A fixture on Saturday 15 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Tartu Welco are 1st, leading the league, on 80 points after 36 matches; Flora II are 5th (upper half) with 52. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tartu Welco, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 8–0 win over Kose, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.

Flora II, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Nõmme Kalju II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Tartu Welco 3–3 Flora II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tartu Welco 2.9 xG, Flora II 1.2 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 78% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tartu Welco 70%, draw 19%, Flora II 11%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tartu Welco to win (70%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tartu Welco 2–1 Flora II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tartu Welco70%fair 1.44 · @1.29
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @5.20
Flora II11%fair 8.92 · @5.80
4.17Expected goals
2.92Tartu Welco xG
1.24Flora II xG
56%Both score
78%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–06%
4–16%
1–16%

From our goals model: Tartu Welco 2.9 – 1.2 Flora II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTartu Welco to win ✓70%1.441.29
Double chanceTartu Welco or draw ✓89%1.131.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.80–
Draw no betTartu Welco (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapTartu Welco -1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78%1.281.14
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗60%1.661.46
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓59%1.701.52
First team to scoreTartu Welco to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultTartu Welco ahead at half-time ✓55%1.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tartu Welco / FT Tartu Welco ✓49%2.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.14–

Recent results

Tartu Welco – last 6

WLLLLW
12 Aug@ Kose8–0W
8 Aug@ Elva1–2L
1 Aug@ Nõmme United II1–2L
23 Jul@ Rumori Calcio II1–5L
18 Julvs FC Tallinn0–2L
13 Jul@ Maardu8–1W
3.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Flora II – last 6

WLWDLD
10 Augvs Nõmme Kalju II3–0W
1 Aug@ FC Tallinn0–1L
25 Jul@ Nõmme Kalju II5–0W
22 Jul@ Trans Narva0–0D
18 Julvs Maardu1–3L
12 Jul@ Nõmme United II1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Tartu Welco v Flora II3–3
Tartu Welco vs Flora II head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs Flora II?

Our pick is Tartu Welco to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Tartu Welco vs Flora II?

On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Flora II 11%.

How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Flora II?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Flora II?

Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 2–1 Flora II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Tartu Welco vs Flora II?

Tartu Welco vs Flora II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.