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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tallinna Kalev v Elva: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Kadrioru Staadion
1–0
FT

Elva

WWDWW
Tallinna Kalev 36%Draw 18%Elva 45% Expected goals 1.76 – 1.98
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultElva to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.22

Tallinna Kalev vs Elva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 15 August the Esiliiga A brings Tallinna Kalev against Elva at Kadrioru Staadion. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Tallinna Kalev are 7th, lower half, on 41 points after 35 matches; Elva are 4th (among the top four) with 55. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tallinna Kalev, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 8–0 win over Tartu Kalev, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 4.0 goals per game.

Elva, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Joker, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Elva, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Tallinna Kalev.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Elva 3–1 Tallinna Kalev. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tallinna Kalev 1 win, Elva 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tallinna Kalev 1.8 xG, Elva 2.0 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tallinna Kalev 36%, draw 18%, Elva 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Elva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tallinna Kalev36%fair 2.74 · @2.70
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @4.00
Elva45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
3.74Expected goals
1.76Tallinna Kalev xG
1.98Elva xG
59%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%

From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev 1.8 – 2.0 Elva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultElva to win ✗45%2.222.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.231.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.69–
Draw no betElva (draw no bet) ✗55%1.81–
Asian handicapTallinna Kalev +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73%1.381.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.94–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
First team to scoreElva to score first ✗52%1.94–
Half-time resultElva ahead at half-time ✗35%2.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT Elva / FT Elva ✗27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.22–

Recent results

Tallinna Kalev – last 6

WDWWWL
11 Augvs Tartu Kalev8–0W
8 Augvs FC Tallinn1–1D
3 Aug@ Viimsi2–1W
23 Jul@ Tammeka Tartu U198–0W
18 Julvs Nõmme United II3–1W
11 Jul@ FCI Levadia II2–3L
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Elva – last 6

WWDWWW
12 Augvs Joker3–0W
8 Augvs Tartu Welco2–1W
1 Aug@ FCI Levadia II2–2D
22 Jul@ Läänemaa Haapsalu6–0W
16 Jul@ Viimsi3–1W
11 Jul@ FC Tallinn3–0W
3.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Elva v Tallinna Kalev3–1
9 Apr 2026Tallinna Kalev v Elva2–1
Tallinna Kalev vs Elva head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?

On our numbers Tallinna Kalev have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Elva 45%.

How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?

Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Elva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?

Tallinna Kalev vs Elva (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kadrioru Staadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.