Value bet: FC Tallinn to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Tallinn to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.98
FC Tallinn vs Nõmme Kalju II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:30 WAT, Saturday 29 August: FC Tallinn v Nõmme Kalju II in the Esiliiga A. In the table, FC Tallinn are 8th, in the drop zone, on 41 points after 36 matches; Nõmme Kalju II are 10th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Tallinn, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FCI Levadia II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Nõmme Kalju II, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Tartu Welco, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours FC Tallinn, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Nõmme Kalju II.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Jun 2026) it ended Nõmme Kalju II 1–3 FC Tallinn. The last 2 head-to-heads: FC Tallinn 2 wins, Nõmme Kalju II 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 6.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Tallinn 2.4 xG, Nõmme Kalju II 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tallinn 62%, draw 13%, Nõmme Kalju II 24%.
Price worth noting: FC Tallinn to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tallinn 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Tallinn62%fair 1.60 · @1.91
Draw13%fair 7.45 · @4.20
Nõmme Kalju II24%fair 4.12 · @2.80
3.75Expected goals
2.37FC Tallinn xG
1.38Nõmme Kalju II xG
58%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: FC Tallinn 2.4 – 1.4 Nõmme Kalju II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Tallinn vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win FC Tallinn vs Nõmme Kalju II?
On our numbers FC Tallinn have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Nõmme Kalju II 24%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tallinn vs Nõmme Kalju II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tallinn vs Nõmme Kalju II?
Our predicted score is FC Tallinn 2–1 Nõmme Kalju II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is FC Tallinn vs Nõmme Kalju II?
FC Tallinn vs Nõmme Kalju II (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
