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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Flora II v Tallinna Kalev: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Sportland Arena
5–0
FT
Flora II 56%Draw 18%Tallinna Kalev 26% Expected goals 2.30 – 1.52
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Flora II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFlora II to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35

Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Flora II welcome Tallinna Kalev to Sportland Arena for a Esiliiga A fixture on Saturday 29 August (10:30 WAT). In the table, Flora II are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 35 matches; Tallinna Kalev are 7th (lower half) with 41.

Current form

Flora II, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Elva, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Tallinna Kalev, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Maardu, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Flora II 3–1 Tallinna Kalev. The last 2 head-to-heads: Flora II 2 wins, Tallinna Kalev 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Flora II 2.3 xG, Tallinna Kalev 1.5 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Flora II 56%, draw 18%, Tallinna Kalev 26%.
  • Price worth noting: Flora II to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flora II 2–1 Tallinna Kalev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Flora II56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @4.20
Tallinna Kalev26%fair 3.89 · @2.75
3.82Expected goals
2.30Flora II xG
1.52Tallinna Kalev xG
57%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
1–26%
2–06%

From our goals model: Flora II 2.3 – 1.5 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFlora II to win ✓56%1.791.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.231.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.75–
Draw no betFlora II (draw no bet) ✓69%1.46–
Asian handicapTallinna Kalev +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
First team to scoreFlora II to score first ✓59%1.70–
Half-time resultFlora II ahead at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Flora II / FT Flora II ✓35%2.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.35–

Recent results

Flora II – last 6

DWLWLW
24 Aug@ Elva0–0D
21 Augvs Viimsi2–1W
15 Aug@ Tartu Welco1–2L
10 Augvs Nõmme Kalju II3–0W
1 Aug@ FC Tallinn0–1L
25 Jul@ Nõmme Kalju II5–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tallinna Kalev – last 6

LWWWDW
24 Augvs Maardu1–3L
20 Aug@ Nõmme Kalju II3–0W
15 Augvs Elva1–0W
11 Augvs Tartu Kalev8–0W
8 Augvs FC Tallinn1–1D
3 Aug@ Viimsi2–1W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jun 2026Flora II v Tallinna Kalev3–1
16 Apr 2026Tallinna Kalev v Flora II1–4
Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev?

On our numbers Flora II have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tallinna Kalev 26%.

How many goals will there be in Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev?

Our predicted score is Flora II 2–1 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev?

Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportland Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.