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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tartu Welco v Viimsi: numbers & prediction

Esiliiga A · Estonia · Holm Jalgpallipark
1–3
FT

Viimsi

WLWWW
Tartu Welco 41%Draw 18%Viimsi 41% Expected goals 1.74 – 1.73
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2

Value bet: Viimsi to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultTartu Welco to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.26

Tartu Welco vs Viimsi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 29 August the Esiliiga A brings Tartu Welco against Viimsi at Holm Jalgpallipark. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Tartu Welco are 1st, leading the league, on 80 points after 36 matches; Viimsi are 2nd (among the top four) with 61. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tartu Welco, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Nõmme Kalju II, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.

Viimsi, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Nõmme United II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Jul 2026) it ended Tartu Welco 2–2 Viimsi. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tartu Welco 0 wins, Viimsi 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tartu Welco 1.7 xG, Viimsi 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tartu Welco 41%, draw 18%, Viimsi 41%.
  • Price worth noting: Viimsi to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tartu Welco 2–1 Viimsi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tartu Welco41%fair 2.43 · @2.00
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.00
Viimsi41%fair 2.47 · @2.75
3.47Expected goals
1.74Tartu Welco xG
1.73Viimsi xG
56%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%

From our goals model: Tartu Welco 1.7 – 1.7 Viimsi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTartu Welco to win ✗41%2.432.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.79–
Draw no betTartu Welco (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapViimsi +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.521.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
First team to scoreTartu Welco to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tartu Welco / FT Tartu Welco ✗23%4.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.26–

Recent results

Tartu Welco – last 6

WWWWLL
23 Aug@ Nõmme Kalju II4–2W
20 Augvs FCI Levadia II4–2W
15 Augvs Flora II2–1W
12 Aug@ Kose8–0W
8 Aug@ Elva1–2L
1 Aug@ Nõmme United II1–2L
3.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Viimsi – last 6

WLWWWL
24 Augvs Nõmme United II4–1W
21 Aug@ Flora II1–2L
15 Augvs FCI Levadia II5–0W
12 Aug@ Helios4–1W
8 Aug@ Maardu2–1W
3 Augvs Tallinna Kalev1–2L
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Jul 2026Tartu Welco v Viimsi2–2
23 Apr 2026Viimsi v Tartu Welco2–0
Tartu Welco vs Viimsi head-to-head page →

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco362556+5980
2Viimsi3618711+3761
3FCI Levadia II3518314+1257
4Elva36151011055
5Flora II3515713+1652
6Maardu3312912-1545
7Tallinna Kalev3511816-541
8FC Tallinn3611817-3541
9Nõmme United II3611718-1440
10Nõmme Kalju II366624-5524

More Esiliiga A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tartu Welco vs Viimsi?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Tartu Welco vs Viimsi?

On our numbers Tartu Welco have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Viimsi 41%.

How many goals will there be in Tartu Welco vs Viimsi?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tartu Welco vs Viimsi?

Our predicted score is Tartu Welco 2–1 Viimsi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Tartu Welco vs Viimsi?

Tartu Welco vs Viimsi (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Holm Jalgpallipark.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.