FC Tallinn 26%Draw 19%Maardu 55%Expected goals 1.40 – 2.12
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.33
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
2
Value bet: Maardu to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMaardu to win55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score66% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.74
FC Tallinn vs Maardu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Tallinn welcome Maardu for a Esiliiga A fixture on Thursday 10 September (15:30 WAT). In the table, FC Tallinn are 8th, in the drop zone, on 41 points after 36 matches; Maardu are 6th (lower half) with 45.
Current form
FC Tallinn, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Viimsi, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Maardu, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nõmme United II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Maardu, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for FC Tallinn.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Maardu 1–0 FC Tallinn. The last 3 head-to-heads: FC Tallinn 0 wins, Maardu 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Tallinn 1.4 xG, Maardu 2.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Tallinn 26%, draw 19%, Maardu 55%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: Maardu to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Tallinn 1–2 Maardu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Tallinn26%fair 3.81 · @3.00
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @3.90
Maardu55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
3.52Expected goals
1.40FC Tallinn xG
2.12Maardu xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: FC Tallinn 1.4 – 2.1 Maardu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win FC Tallinn vs Maardu?
On our numbers FC Tallinn have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Maardu 55%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tallinn vs Maardu?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tallinn vs Maardu?
Our predicted score is FC Tallinn 1–2 Maardu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC Tallinn vs Maardu?
FC Tallinn vs Maardu (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
