Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 10 September the Esiliiga A brings Nõmme United II against Tallinna Kalev. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Nõmme United II are 9th, in the drop zone, on 40 points after 36 matches; Tallinna Kalev are 7th (lower half) with 41. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nõmme United II, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Maardu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Tallinna Kalev, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tartu Welco, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tallinna Kalev, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Nõmme United II.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Tallinna Kalev 3–1 Nõmme United II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Nõmme United II 0 wins, Tallinna Kalev 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme United II 1.8 xG, Tallinna Kalev 2.0 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme United II 37%, draw 18%, Tallinna Kalev 45%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme United II 1–1 Tallinna Kalev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nõmme United II37%fair 2.72 · @2.38
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @4.20
Tallinna Kalev45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
3.76Expected goals
1.77Nõmme United II xG
1.99Tallinna Kalev xG
70%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Nõmme United II 1.8 – 2.0 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers Nõmme United II have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tallinna Kalev 45%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United II 1–1 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev?
Nõmme United II vs Tallinna Kalev (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
