Value bet: Tartu Welco to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTartu Welco to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗71% · @1.29
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.03
FCI Levadia II vs Tartu Welco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FCI Levadia II welcome Tartu Welco to Maarjamae staadion for a Esiliiga A fixture on Thursday 10 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, FCI Levadia II are 3rd, among the top four, on 57 points after 35 matches; Tartu Welco are 1st (leading the league) with 80. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FCI Levadia II, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 6–2 win over Flora II, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Tartu Welco, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tallinna Kalev, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Tartu Welco, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for FCI Levadia II.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Aug 2026) it ended Tartu Welco 4–2 FCI Levadia II. The last 3 head-to-heads: FCI Levadia II 0 wins, Tartu Welco 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FCI Levadia II 1.5 xG, Tartu Welco 2.7 xG – a total near 4.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 78% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FCI Levadia II 21%, draw 14%, Tartu Welco 64%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.29.
Price worth noting: Tartu Welco to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: FCI Levadia II 1–2 Tartu Welco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FCI Levadia II21%fair 4.68 · @3.40
Draw14%fair 6.96 · @4.33
Tartu Welco64%fair 1.56 · @1.73
4.15Expected goals
1.48FCI Levadia II xG
2.67Tartu Welco xG
71%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–37%
1–16%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: FCI Levadia II 1.5 – 2.7 Tartu Welco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FCI Levadia II vs Tartu Welco?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win FCI Levadia II vs Tartu Welco?
On our numbers FCI Levadia II have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Tartu Welco 64%.
How many goals will there be in FCI Levadia II vs Tartu Welco?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FCI Levadia II vs Tartu Welco?
Our predicted score is FCI Levadia II 1–2 Tartu Welco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is FCI Levadia II vs Tartu Welco?
FCI Levadia II vs Tartu Welco (Esiliiga A) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Maarjamae staadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
