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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ceara v Operario-PR: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo

Ceara

WLWLW
1–2
FT
Ceara 45%Draw 26%Operario-PR 29% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.09
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCeara to win ✗45% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66

Ceara vs Operario-PR: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 31 May the Serie B brings Ceara against Operario-PR at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Ceara are 16th, lower half, on 43 points after 37 matches; Operario-PR are 10th (upper half) with 54.

Current form

Ceara, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fortaleza EC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Operario-PR, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Criciuma, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Ceara, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Operario-PR.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ceara 1.3 xG, Operario-PR 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ceara 45%, draw 26%, Operario-PR 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ceara 1–1 Operario-PR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ceara45%fair 2.22 · @1.96
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.25
Operario-PR29%fair 3.48 · @3.95
2.42Expected goals
1.33Ceara xG
1.09Operario-PR xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Ceara 1.3 – 1.1 Operario-PR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CearaOperario-PR
Attack vs Serie B average-12%+13%
Goals conceded vs average+10%+14%
Our expected goals here1.371.27

Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCeara to win ✗45%2.221.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.782.05 ▲
Draw no betCeara (draw no bet) ✗61%1.64–
Asian handicapOperario-PR +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.05
First team to scoreCeara to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ceara / FT Ceara ✗25%4.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.66–

Recent results

Ceara – last 6

WLWLWW
17 Mayvs Fortaleza EC2–1W
7 May@ Vitoria0–1L
30 Apr@ Maranhão3–1W
23 Apr@ Atletico-MG1–2L
15 Aprvs Jacuipense4–1W
12 Aprvs Nautico Recife1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Operario-PR – last 6

DLLLWD
25 Mayvs Criciuma1–1D
13 May@ Fluminense1–2L
10 May@ CRB0–3L
7 Mayvs Chapecoense-sc1–2L
30 Apr@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ2–1W
24 Aprvs Fluminense0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ceara and Operario-PR.

Ceara vs Operario-PR head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ceara vs Operario-PR?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ceara vs Operario-PR?

On our numbers Ceara have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Operario-PR 29%.

How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Operario-PR?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Operario-PR?

Our predicted score is Ceara 1–1 Operario-PR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Ceara vs Operario-PR?

Ceara vs Operario-PR (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.