São Bernardo 33%Draw 28%Novorizontino 39%Expected goals 1.14 – 1.31
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNovorizontino to win ✗39% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.82
São Bernardo vs Novorizontino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 31 May the Serie B brings São Bernardo against Novorizontino at Estádio Primeiro de Maio. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, São Bernardo are 11th, lower half, on 52 points after 37 matches; Novorizontino are 1st (leading the league) with 70. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
São Bernardo, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atletico Goianiense, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Novorizontino, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Chapecoense-sc, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Novorizontino 1–0 São Bernardo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São Bernardo 1.1 xG, Novorizontino 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São Bernardo 33%, draw 28%, Novorizontino 39%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: São Bernardo 1–1 Novorizontino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São Bernardo33%fair 2.99 · @2.76
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @2.88
Novorizontino39%fair 2.58 · @2.76
2.46Expected goals
1.14São Bernardo xG
1.31Novorizontino xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: São Bernardo 1.1 – 1.3 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
Attack vs Serie B average
+20%
+44%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-26%
Our expected goals here
1.22
1.52
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers São Bernardo have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Novorizontino 39%.
How many goals will there be in São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is São Bernardo 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is São Bernardo vs Novorizontino?
São Bernardo vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Primeiro de Maio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
