Value bet: Vila Nova to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVila Nova to win ✓38% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Londrina vs Vila Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Londrina welcome Vila Nova to Estádio Jacy Scaff for a Serie B fixture on Sunday 31 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Londrina are 18th, in the drop zone, on 32 points after 37 matches; Vila Nova are 3rd (among the top four) with 66. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Londrina, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Ponte Preta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Vila Nova, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over America Mineiro, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Vila Nova, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Londrina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Londrina 1.3 xG, Vila Nova 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Londrina 36%, draw 26%, Vila Nova 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Vila Nova to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Londrina 1–1 Vila Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Londrina36%fair 2.78 · @2.24
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.15
Vila Nova38%fair 2.65 · @3.25
2.68Expected goals
1.26Londrina xG
1.42Vila Nova xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Londrina 1.3 – 1.4 Vila Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Londrina
Vila Nova
Attack vs Serie B average
+4%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
+31%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.22
1.55
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vila Nova to win✓
38%
2.65
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.85
Draw no bet
Vila Nova (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Londrina +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Vila Nova to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vila Nova / FT Vila Nova✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Londrina – last 6
WLLLLD
18 May
@ Ponte Preta
4–1
W
12 May
vs São Bernardo
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ Juventude
0–1
L
13 Apr
@ Atletico Goianiense
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Sport Recife
1–2
L
1 Apr
vs Goias
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Vila Nova – last 6
WWDWDD
24 May
@ America Mineiro
2–1
W
17 May
vs Avai
2–0
W
4 May
vs Athletic Club
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Araguaína
2–1
W
16 Apr
vs Capital Brasilia
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Primavera MG
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Londrina and Vila Nova.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Londrina vs Vila Nova?
On our numbers Londrina have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Vila Nova 38%.
How many goals will there be in Londrina vs Vila Nova?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Londrina vs Vila Nova?
Our predicted score is Londrina 1–1 Vila Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Londrina vs Vila Nova?
Londrina vs Vila Nova (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Jacy Scaff.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
