America Mineiro 31%Draw 31%Goias 38%Expected goals 0.98 – 1.10
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGoias to win ✗38% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.46
America Mineiro vs Goias: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
America Mineiro welcome Goias to Arena Independência for a Serie B fixture on Sunday 26 July (22:30 WAT). In the table, America Mineiro are 19th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 37 matches; Goias are 7th (upper half) with 58. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
America Mineiro, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Avai, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Goias, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sport Recife, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Goias, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for America Mineiro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give America Mineiro 1.0 xG, Goias 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – America Mineiro 31%, draw 31%, Goias 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: America Mineiro 0–1 Goias. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
America Mineiro31%fair 3.23 · @2.90
Draw31%fair 3.27 · @2.88
Goias38%fair 2.60 · @2.64
2.08Expected goals
0.98America Mineiro xG
1.10Goias xG
54%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: America Mineiro 1.0 – 1.1 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
America Mineiro
Goias
Attack vs Serie B average
-28%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-13%
Our expected goals here
0.87
0.95
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Goias to win✗
38%
2.60
2.64
Double chance
Either team to win✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Goias (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
America Mineiro +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Goias to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Goias / FT Goias✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.46
–
Recent results
America Mineiro – last 6
LDDLLL
21 Jul
@ Avai
1–2
L
17 Jul
vs Ceara
1–1
D
13 Jul
vs Londrina
1–1
D
3 Jul
@ Cuiaba
0–1
L
27 Jun
@ Operario-PR
0–1
L
24 Jun
vs Criciuma
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Goias – last 6
DWDWWL
23 Jul
vs Sport Recife
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Ponte Preta
2–1
W
12 Jul
@ CRB
2–2
D
5 Jul
vs Ceara
2–0
W
28 Jun
@ Nautico Recife
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Operario-PR
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America Mineiro and Goias.
What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs Goias?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win America Mineiro vs Goias?
On our numbers America Mineiro have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Goias 38%.
How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs Goias?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Goias?
Our predicted score is America Mineiro 0–1 Goias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is America Mineiro vs Goias?
America Mineiro vs Goias (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Independência.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
