Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultCriciuma to win ✗57% · @1.73
Double chanceCriciuma or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.85
Criciuma vs Nautico Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nautico Recife travel to face Criciuma on Sunday 26 July in the Serie B, with Estádio Heriberto Hülse the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Criciuma are 4th, among the top four, on 62 points after 37 matches; Nautico Recife are 15th (lower half) with 46. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Criciuma, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Novorizontino, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Nautico Recife, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Londrina, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Criciuma, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Nautico Recife.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Criciuma 1.5 xG, Nautico Recife 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Criciuma 57%, draw 28%, Nautico Recife 16%.
Lower-risk option: Criciuma or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Criciuma 1–0 Nautico Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Criciuma57%fair 1.76 · @1.73
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.45
Nautico Recife16%fair 6.37 · @5.00
2.16Expected goals
1.49Criciuma xG
0.68Nautico Recife xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Criciuma 1.5 – 0.7 Nautico Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Attack vs Serie B average
-18%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
+17%
Our expected goals here
1.31
0.62
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Criciuma to win✗
57%
1.76
1.73
Double chance
Criciuma or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.73
Draw no bet
Criciuma (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Nautico Recife +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.07
First team to score
Criciuma to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Criciuma / FT Criciuma✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.85
–
Recent results
Criciuma – last 6
WWWWWW
21 Jul
@ Novorizontino
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Vila Nova
2–0
W
9 Jul
@ Ponte Preta
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Sport Recife
1–0
W
27 Jun
vs São Bernardo
1–0
W
24 Jun
@ America Mineiro
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nautico Recife – last 6
WLLDLL
23 Jul
vs Londrina
2–1
W
17 Jul
@ CRB
1–2
L
12 Jul
@ Avai
0–2
L
6 Jul
vs Juventude
0–0
D
28 Jun
vs Goias
0–1
L
20 Jun
@ Vila Nova
3–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Criciuma and Nautico Recife.
What is the prediction for Criciuma vs Nautico Recife?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Criciuma vs Nautico Recife?
On our numbers Criciuma have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Nautico Recife 16%.
How many goals will there be in Criciuma vs Nautico Recife?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Criciuma vs Nautico Recife?
Our predicted score is Criciuma 1–0 Nautico Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Criciuma vs Nautico Recife?
Criciuma vs Nautico Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Heriberto Hülse.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
