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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Londrina v Novorizontino: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias
1–4
FT
Londrina 25%Draw 25%Novorizontino 50% Expected goals 1.04 – 1.68
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultNovorizontino to win ✓50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.34

Londrina vs Novorizontino: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:30 WAT, Sunday 26 July: Londrina v Novorizontino in the Serie B, played at Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias. In the table, Londrina are 18th, in the drop zone, on 32 points after 37 matches; Novorizontino are 1st (leading the league) with 70. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Londrina, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nautico Recife, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Novorizontino, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Criciuma, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Mar 2026) it ended Novorizontino 1–3 Londrina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Londrina 1.0 xG, Novorizontino 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Londrina 25%, draw 25%, Novorizontino 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Londrina 1–1 Novorizontino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Londrina25%fair 3.97 · @3.80
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.25
Novorizontino50%fair 2.00 · @2.00
2.72Expected goals
1.04Londrina xG
1.68Novorizontino xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Londrina 1.0 – 1.7 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

LondrinaNovorizontino
Attack vs Serie B average+4%+44%
Goals conceded vs average+31%-26%
Our expected goals here1.061.93

Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNovorizontino to win ✓50%2.002.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.951.85
Draw no betNovorizontino (draw no bet) ✓67%1.50–
Asian handicapLondrina +1 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.361.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.151.07
First team to scoreNovorizontino to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino ✓32%3.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.34–

Recent results

Londrina – last 6

LDDWDW
23 Jul@ Nautico Recife1–2L
18 Julvs Botafogo SP0–0D
13 Jul@ America Mineiro1–1D
4 Julvs CRB5–0W
26 Jun@ Cuiaba2–2D
20 Junvs Athletic Club2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Novorizontino – last 6

LLLWWW
21 Julvs Criciuma0–1L
18 Jul@ Fortaleza EC0–1L
12 Jul@ Operario-PR1–2L
4 Julvs Atletico Goianiense3–0W
26 Junvs Vila Nova2–1W
23 Jun@ Ponte Preta2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Mar 2026Novorizontino v Londrina1–3
Londrina vs Novorizontino head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Londrina vs Novorizontino?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Londrina vs Novorizontino?

On our numbers Londrina have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Novorizontino 50%.

How many goals will there be in Londrina vs Novorizontino?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Londrina vs Novorizontino?

Our predicted score is Londrina 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Londrina vs Novorizontino?

Londrina vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.