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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Goianiense v Novorizontino: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense 37%Draw 24%Novorizontino 39% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.24
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2

Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNovorizontino to win ✓39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.42

Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:30 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Atletico Goianiense v Novorizontino in the Serie B. In the table, Atletico Goianiense are 8th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Novorizontino are 1st (leading the league) with 70. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atletico Goianiense, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ponte Preta, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Novorizontino, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vila Nova, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Novorizontino, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Atletico Goianiense.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Novorizontino 3–0 Atletico Goianiense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Goianiense 1.2 xG, Novorizontino 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Goianiense 37%, draw 24%, Novorizontino 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Novorizontino to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Goianiense 1–1 Novorizontino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Goianiense37%fair 2.72 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Novorizontino39%fair 2.56 · @2.75
2.43Expected goals
1.19Atletico Goianiense xG
1.24Novorizontino xG
60%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Atletico Goianiense 1.2 – 1.2 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNovorizontino to win ✓39%2.562.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.70
Draw no betNovorizontino (draw no bet) ✓52%1.94–
Asian handicapAtletico Goianiense +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreNovorizontino to score first ✓47%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino ✗21%4.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.42–

Recent results

Atletico Goianiense – last 6

DDLWWL
16 Oct@ Ponte Preta1–1D
11 Octvs Sport Recife1–1D
8 Oct@ CRB1–3L
3 Octvs America Mineiro2–0W
26 Sep@ Goias1–0W
19 Sep@ São Bernardo0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Novorizontino – last 6

DWWWDL
18 Oct@ Vila Nova2–2D
12 Octvs Ponte Preta5–1W
8 Oct@ Nautico Recife2–0W
2 Octvs Goias3–0W
25 Sepvs São Bernardo0–0D
19 Sep@ Ceara1–2L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026Novorizontino v Atletico Goianiense3–0
Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino?

On our numbers Atletico Goianiense have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Novorizontino 39%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino?

Our predicted score is Atletico Goianiense 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino?

Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.