Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFortaleza EC to win ✗69% · @1.25
Double chanceFortaleza EC or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ponte Preta welcome Fortaleza EC for a Serie B fixture on Saturday 24 October (22:30 WAT). In the table, Ponte Preta are 20th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 37 matches; Fortaleza EC are 5th (upper half) with 62. There are 47 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ponte Preta, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico Goianiense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Fortaleza EC, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sport Recife, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fortaleza EC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Ponte Preta.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Jul 2026) it ended Fortaleza EC 2–0 Ponte Preta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ponte Preta 0.6 xG, Fortaleza EC 1.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ponte Preta 13%, draw 19%, Fortaleza EC 69%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fortaleza EC to win (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ponte Preta 0–1 Fortaleza EC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ponte Preta13%fair 7.97 · @11.00
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @5.00
Fortaleza EC69%fair 1.45 · @1.25
2.40Expected goals
0.58Ponte Preta xG
1.82Fortaleza EC xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–215%
1–110%
0–39%
0–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Ponte Preta 0.6 – 1.8 Fortaleza EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
Our pick is Fortaleza EC to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Fortaleza EC 69%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 0–1 Fortaleza EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
